ICICI Bank Limited Max Pain Analysis
What is Max Pain?
Max Pain theory states the underlying gravitates toward the strike where option writers face minimum collective loss at expiry. For ICICIBANK, that strike is ₹1,340. Spot at ₹1,385.8 is 3.42% above max pain — possible downward gravitational pull into expiry.
Max Pain Level
The max pain strike for ICICIBANK is ₹1340, where option writer losses are minimized at expiry. This level often acts as a magnet for the underlying price as expiry approaches due to concentrated open interest.
Spot vs Max Pain Gap
The spot price at ₹1385.8 is 3.42% above the max pain level, indicating a notable upside gap. This creates a pull toward ₹1340, as the price drift tends to favor writer profitability near expiry.
Shift Signal
The max pain level is unchanged from yesterday, reflecting stable writer positioning across strikes. Persistent alignment at ₹1340 suggests minimal recalibration in short option concentrations.
Expiry Bias
A downward drift toward ₹1340 is expected ahead of the 2026-04-28 expiry. The pull strengthens as time decays, especially within the final five days when premium erosion accelerates.
Trader Note
With 7 days to expiry, premium decay strategies are premature; wait until daysToExpiry ≤ 5 for optimal short premium execution.
Data as of 2026-04-21